Esoteric Dissertations from a One-Track Mind

August 23, 2007

Bush: Vietnam is to Iraq as Cambodia is to?

Filed under: history, politics — codesmithy @ 9:15 am

Admittedly, this is a foggy. Yet, anything that deals with the future always is. I do believe people have the capacity for free-will which throws off all attempts at fortune telling, but people are rarely very good at completely disguising their intentions.  I will try my best not to make connections appear stronger than what they are. Alternative explanations in the comments will be appreciated, since I’m only trying to make the pieces fit. There are four key facts that I’m trying to reconcile and there is seemingly only one way to do it.

Fact 1, Karl Rove and Tony Snow are stepping down, and Snow hinted at other departures. The excuses tend to be universally lame. Snow’s reason was for financial reasons despite the fact that he has a $168,000 salary as press secretary, and Rove wants to spend more time with his family, now.

Fact 2, Karl Rove made a the following statement on his farewell tour.

America needs to think and act differently. We face a brutal enemy who will kill the innocent for one purpose and that is to gain control of the Middle East and use the leverage of oil to bring down the West and will attack us again. – Karl Rove, Meet the Press 8/19/07

It is in the part 1 video on Crooks and Liars. This is a new meme that I hadn’t heard before. Under this rubric of the enemy we face, who then is the greatest threat? Who else in the region is an enemy, has lots of oil and this administration will accuse of interfering in the region and harboring terrorists?

Fact 3, former CIA officer says US to attack Iran within 6 months. Although, Baer’s other point was that the administration didn’t trust the military bureaucracy and did not want a leak. Is this the reason the Petraeus report is being written inside the White House? Will the White House emphasize connections between the Iranian Revolutionary Guard and IED’s in Iraq? Is that why the Iranian Revolutionary Guard is going to be labeled terrorist organization? Is the reason behind Karl Rove’s leaving because Bush no longer trusted him to keep information private? The trust that he violated with the Valerie Plame affair.

The final piece is Bush’s Vietnam comparison. The rhetorical point he seemed to be making was: the U.S. should have stayed in Vietnam and there were wider problems in Indochina that he emphasized in Cambodia. Wait a second, the U.S. bombed Cambodia.

Iran is a country that we know this administration has had its eye on from the original axis of evil days. This is coming to a head after years of posturing. I don’t think this president has any intention of going out with a whimper or being a lame duck. I can completely see him trying to carry out a grand vision in the face of what would otherwise be a withering gauntlet. I hope as much as Baer that this is wrong, but on the flip-side, these pieces of evidence are the ones in hindsight we would kick ourselves and ask: “how did we not see this coming?” I’m not trying to overstate the case and I’m not saying invasion, just bombing the Iranian Revolutionary Guard and nuclear sites. From the best I can tell, we have two carrier groups in the gulf and every article I’ve come across about the carrier deployment mentions Iran. In all, I don’t think Baer’s informal poll seems as far off as it first appears, and I don’t know what other explanation carries as much weight.  We’ve certainly seemed to have passed the threshold for mere coincidence.

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